From 2023 to 2026: How the Sabalenka–Rybakina Rivalry Evolved

Melbourne has a queen, but every reign faces a reckoning. Aryna Sabalenka returns to the Australian Open final chasing history, standing in her way once again is Elena Rybakina, her most dangerous rival.

This is not just a final. It’s a power struggle.

What is at stake for Aryna Sabalenka?

Sabalenka is chasing her third Australian Open title, a feat achieved by only six women in the Open Era. Victory would further cement her dominance on hard courts and reinforce her grip on the No.1 ranking.

How did Elena Rybakina reach the final?

Rybakina advanced to the final with a commanding semifinal win over Jessica Pegula. The 2022 Wimbledon champion has combined power and composure throughout the tournament, peaking at the right moment.

What has Sabalenka’s form been like in Melbourne?

Sabalenka has looked near-unstoppable, dropping just one set en route to the final. Her semifinal win over Elina Svitolina extended her remarkable unbeaten run at Melbourne Park.

What is the head-to-head record between Sabalenka and Rybakina?

According to the WTA, Sabalenka leads the rivalry 8–6 overall. Rybakina, however, has won three of their last five meetings, while Sabalenka holds a 2–0 advantage in Grand Slam matches, including the 2023 Australian Open final.

Why is this rivalry so compelling?

Both players rely on raw power, but in different ways. Sabalenka attacks relentlessly from the baseline, while Rybakina’s flatter strokes and lethal serve allow her to strike with surgical precision.

Their clashes are often decided by inches, and nerve.

What happened in their last Australian Open meeting?

In the 2023 Australian Open final, Sabalenka defeated Rybakina 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 to win her first Grand Slam title. That comeback victory marked a turning point in Sabalenka’s career.

What do the numbers say ahead of the final?

Sabalenka owns two Australian Open titles (2023, 2024) and back-to-back US Open crowns (2024, 2025). Rybakina, the 2022 Wimbledon champion, remains one of the tour’s most feared servers, especially on hard courts.

What have the players said before the final?

Sabalenka acknowledged the challenge ahead, calling Rybakina one of the toughest opponents on tour. Rybakina, meanwhile, spoke confidently about her form, emphasizing belief and execution over rankings.

Who is the favourite to win the Australian Open final?

Sabalenka enters as the favorite due to her unbeaten Melbourne run and world No.1 status. But Rybakina’s power, recent wins, and Grand Slam pedigree ensure this final remains wide open.

(With inputs from yMedia)