Markets in Red: Sensex Falls 322 Points, Nifty Slips Below 23,250

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Indian markets lower as FPI selling and West Asia tensions weighed on sentiment. Analysts see weakness but expect technical bounce, with global cues, oil prices and Iran developments driving volatility
Markets in Red: Sensex Falls 322 Points, Nifty Slips Below 23,250
The BSE Sensex fell 322.14 points, or 0.43 per cent, to 73,945.20, while the NSE Nifty 50 declined 153.45 points, or 0.66 per cent, to 23,229.15. Credits: AI-generated image

Indian equity markets opened in the red on Monday, weighed down by continued foreign portfolio investor (FPI) selling and continued geopolitical tensions in West Asia.

The BSE Sensex fell 322.14 points, or 0.43 per cent, to 73,945.20, while the NSE Nifty 50 declined 153.45 points, or 0.66 per cent, to 23,229.15.

Market experts said domestic indices remain under pressure in the near term, though oversold conditions could support a technical recovery.

We believe the market's short-term structure is weak, but due to temporary oversold conditions, we expect a technical bounce back from current levels.
Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Securities
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"For day traders, 23,500/74500 will be a trend-setting level. Below this, the correction wave is likely to continue downwards, potentially pushing the market towards 23,250-23,200/74000-73700. A close below the 23200 level could quickly lead to a retracement towards 22800," he added.

How Is the Iran Conflict Impacting Global Market Sentiment?

Analysts said global market sentiment continues to be influenced by developments surrounding the Iran conflict and peace negotiations in West Asia.

"The Iran peace deal remains the biggest catalyst for the markets. Trump's posts that talks were progressing and a deal was imminent in the next week saw a market reversal last evening in the US, with US stocks ending at record high levels," said Ajay Bagga, Banking and Market Expert.

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Dow Jones Futures were down 210.84 points, or 0.41 per cent, at 50,868.04. The S&P 500 gained 19.90 points, or 0.26 per cent, to 7,599.96, while the Nasdaq rose 114.19 points, or 0.42 per cent, to 27,086.81.

Commenting on Asian markets, Bagga said, "This morning in Asia, we are seeing a small cut in Asian markets on the Iran uncertainty as Israel continues its military action in Lebanon contrary to Trump's claims of having prevailed on both Israel and Hezbollah to tone down attacks on each other. Oil is down slightly, so markets are counting on Trump to deliver an exit from the Iran conflict."

Most Asian markets were trading lower. GIFT NIFTY was down 178.50 points, or 0.77 per cent, at 23,263. Japan's Nikkei 225 declined 1.61 per cent, while South Korea's KOSPI fell 2.57 per cent. Taiwan Weighted Index also traded lower.

However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.93 per cent, while Singapore's Straits Times, Thailand's SET Composite and Indonesia's Jakarta Composite posted modest gains. China's Shanghai Composite remained largely flat.

Can AI Momentum Offset Geopolitical Risks from the Iran Conflict in Markets?

Bagga said geopolitical risks continue to keep markets volatile."The situation remains extremely volatile and the main reason global markets are at record levels despite this extreme geopolitical risk is the AI momentum play, with the huge $800 bn AI infrastructure spends holding up the economic momentum," he said.

In the commodities segment, gold prices remained under pressure amid a stronger US dollar and geopolitical developments.

"Gold prices started the week on a weaker note, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and renewed geopolitical uncertainty after Iran announced suspension of negotiations with US following fresh military strikes and Israel's expanded operations in Lebanon," said Manav Modi, Commodities Analyst, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Brent crude slipped $0.63, or 0.66 per cent, to $94.35 per barrel, while WTI crude declined $0.71, or 0.77 per cent, to $91.45 per barrel. Gold gained $11.82, or 0.26 per cent, to $4,496.92.

(With inputs from ANI)