The Marartha quota agitation has been called off by its leader Manoj Jarange after the Mahayuti (Grand Alliance) government accepted his basic demands while offering a pathway to resolving contentious legal-political issues. The vacation of roadblocksin the heart of Mumbai has been welcomed but a section of the commentariat bemoaned that ransom tactics, such as holding a city hostage, have become the template for extracting concessions and pointed to a similar situation when farm unions opposed theModi government’s agriculture reform legislation. The argument does indeed present a case for consideration. But while blaming governments for succumbing to pressure tactics, these commentators choose to ignore the encouragement offered to the Left-aligned farm unions by intellectuals and political parties opposed to BJP. The silence of most commentators was tellingly loud. If the confrontation in Mumbai had worsened, the same sections would have lost no time in blaming the state government
rather than the agitators. As it turned out, the ruling coalition acted deftly to ensure a looming Maratha versus OBC conflict did not get out of hand and fracture its political base. It also did not fully concede the claim that all Marathas are eligible for reservation as backward classes. It is educative that but for the strong observations of the Bombay High Court, there was hardly any criticism of the quota agitators. No one pointed out that the quota issue failed during the 2024 Maharashtra election and suspicions that the agitators were working in tandem with the Opposition, in particular the Nationalist Congress Party (Sharad Pawar), backfired on the Maharashtra Vikas Aghadi (MVA).
The Singapore-India Tango
Amid turmoil in international relations due to US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and consequent repositioning by many nations, the India-Singapore relationship is on stable footing. Singapore has long done a balancing act in dealing with China’s expectations that the island nation with a majority ethnic Chinese population will be an unquestioning ally. Lacking land areas, the Singapore military findsexercises in India very useful. A shared view of the need to develop safe supply routessaw Prime Minister Modi welcome Singapore PrimeMinister Lawrence Wong in New Delhi as soon as he returnedfrom a meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Tianjin.
Hedging Defence Bets
The announcement of a deal between DRDO and French company Safran for the design, development and manufacture of an advanced engine for India’s Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) came days before US President Donald Trump’s additional 25 per cent tariffs were to kick in, but negotiations gathered pace much earlier. While it is difficult to say if the tenor of trade discussions or delays in supply of GE F404 engines for Tejas Mk 1A were a factor, Defence Minister Rajnath Singh’s meeting with a Safran delegation in early July is seen as significant and presages the AMCA contract.
Akhilesh’s Pole Vault
The late Mulayam Singh Yadav saw relations with Congress through the prism of containing the latter’s influence in Uttar Pradesh (UP) so as to ensure SP remained the ‘secular’ choice. This helped retain the support of Muslims but the decline of BSP leader Mayawati has meant that sections of Dalits are adrift. This has encouraged a section of Congress to consider more aggressive moves in UP. SP leader Akhilesh Yadav’s ‘vault’ over police barriers during an I.N.D.I.A. protest against the electoral revision in Bihar was not an impulsive act. It was meant to ensure that SP grabbed the headlines in the protest.
Siddaramaiah’s Banu Muddle
Karnataka Chief Minister Siddaramaiah’s defence of the decision to invite writer Banu Mushtaq, winner of the International Booker Prize, to inaugurate the Dussehra festival on grounds that the occasion is “secular and non-religious” has given BJP another opportunity to target the leader as anti-Hindu, just as it previously did over the state sponsorship of Tipu Jayanti. The chief minister’s moves are possibly intended to defuse attempts to stir trouble against him within Congress but the manoeuvre has provided more grist to BJP’s Hindutva mill.
Peace on the LAC
Repeated efforts by anti-China hawks and some political parties to argue India ‘gave away’ territory by agreeing to disengagement and buffer zones on the Line of Actual Control (LAC) seem to have lost steam with India and China adhering to the agreement reached last year after Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping met in Kazan. The fact remains that just as India moved back from some forward positions, China has also retreated from its so-called claim lines. The pullback and restoration of patrolling is as close to the status quo of March 2020 as possible.
The Return of Naveen
After a recent health scare, which was apparently caused by dehydration, BJD leader Naveen Patnaik is back monitoring party activities from his residence in Bhubaneswar. BJD leaders said Naveenbabu has previously suffered from a similar incident and needs to be more careful with advancing age. But seeing him back home—the leader was never one to meet many people—is reassuring and BJD hopes to keep up the pressure on the state government amid perceptions that BJP is still finding its feet in government.
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